Actualités Forex

Les banques sont optimistes pour EUR/USD, objectif 1.14 selon Commerzbank

19.06.2023 18:42



© Reuters

Investing.com – L’EUR/USD a peu évolué depuis le début de la journée, poursuivant la tendance hésitante de vendredi dernier.

Cependant, les gains affichés la semaine dernière par l’Euro Dollar suite à la réunion de la BCE ont incité plusieurs analystes à rehausser leurs prévisions pour la monnaie européenne.

Dans une note publiée aujourd’hui, les analystes d’ING ont notamment déclarer continuer « à favoriser un mouvement à court terme vers 1,1000/30 et probablement plus haut, les investisseurs se positionnant pour un second semestre de baisse du dollar ».

A court terme, la banque a relevé que « si l’ maintient son élan haussier de la semaine dernière, les niveaux de support à court terme à 1.0910/30 devraient tenir ».

De leur côté, les analystes d’UOB prévoient que l’euro « devrait continuer à augmenter, bien qu’à un rythme plus lent », signalant que « le prochain niveau à surveiller est 1,1000 ».

Les analystes ont par ailleurs relevé que « seule une rupture de 1,0845 (le niveau de « support fort » était à 1,0825 vendredi dernier) indiquerait que la force de l’euro qui a commencé il y a plus d’une semaine est arrivée à son terme ».

Enfin, les économistes de Commerzbank (ETR:) ont déclaré qu’ils ont ajusté leurs prévisions de hausses de taux de la BCE, anticipant désormais une nouvelle hausse de taux en juillet, et supposant que « la BCE maintiendra longtemps ses taux au niveau de 3,75 % ».

Dans ce contexte, la banque a déclaré être « encore plus à l’aise » avec son objectif EUR/USD de 1,14 d’ici la fin de l’année.



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